Apr 272011
 

The Raiders had a renaissance of sorts in 2010. A stellar draft class helped propel them to an 8-8 record and the first non-losing season since 2002.

The draft is nearly a national holiday for NFL fans, but for the Raider Nation it has become the national day of prayer. Praying and hoping Al Davis doesn’t do something completely crazy. Recent examples include drafting a quarterback with questionable work ethic and giving him $30 million guaranteed and drafting a raw and unproven receiver with questionable hands with the seventh overall selection.

It is Al Davis who calls all the shots on draft picks and his recent track record in recent years suggested the man may have lost touch with the modern NFL. Then came 2010, with what appears to be a great haul of picks including Rolando McClain, Lamarr Houston and Jacoby Ford. The Raiders also used picks to acquire Kamerion Wimbley and Jason Campbell.

Coach Davis, as new head coach Hue Jackson calls him, has just one glaring team need and a host of less significant ones. Will Davis reach for players with elite athletic ability or draft football players? Will he draft offensive lineman to give Jason Campbell a fighting chance?

The Raiders drafts are often a dichotomy between what is predictable and what is unpredictable. When given the choice between two similarly graded players, Davis will chose the faster one. While he may predictably target speed players he will also have a player or two graded absurdly higher than anyone expects making the Raiders draft picks wildly unpredictable.

What should Al Davis be looking to do in the 2011 NFL draft? Who might he have graded significantly higher than others? Allow me to examine each position group.

Quarterback

Starter: Jason Campbell

Backup: Kyle Boller

Third String: Open

The Situation:

With just one-year remaining on Jason Campbell’s contract, don’t be surprised if the Raiders consider drafting a quaterback to develop. There is a significant correlation between teams with new head coaches that draft a quarterback. Hue Jackson admitted during his pre-draft press conference he would love to add a young arm.

Who fits?

Colin Kaepernick’s quarterback coach of eight years is Roger Theder. Theder coached with Raiders offensive coordinator Al Saunders at Cal and was Jim Plunkett’s quarterback coach at Stanford. Kaepernick also has a big arm and the leadership qualities Hue Jackson requires. Based on all the smoke being blown around, the Raiders would have to move up to get the University of Nevada product.

Who doesn’t?

Ryan Mallett. His off-the-field issues will scare the Raiders away with the JaMarcus Russell era just one year in their rearview mirror. It will not matter at all to the Raiders that he has a huge arm and a great football IQ. He’s one the Raiders will keep off their list.

Don’t be surprised if…

The Raiders trade up to get a quarterback early.

Continue reading »

Apr 202011
 

Fast rising prospect Colin Kaepernick (@Kaepernick10) talks about his visit with the Raiders, his decision to stay home for the draft, the pistol offense and more.

Thanks to Shawn Smith (@1stladyXAMSport) and Scott Smith (@XAMSports) for making the interview happen.

Special thanks to Kyle Kaepernick (@DarthKaepernick) and Rick Kaepernick (@QBDAD10) for sharing some secrets about Colin’s past.

Apr 202011
 

ESPN Honolulu was kind enough to have me on Sports Animals. Here is the audio.

Apr 242010
 

It isn’t often you can get a starting QB via trade.

It is even more rare when you can get a starting QB for a fourth round pick two years into the future.

The Raiders have added a year to Campbell’s deal making him a Raider through 2011.

Jason Campbell’s deal in oakland will pay him $3.14 million this season and $4.5 million in 2011 according to Adam Schefter.

What does this mean for JaMarcus Russell and Bruce Gradkowski?

Give the reigns to Campbell or a true competition? Time will tell.

So who is Jason Campbell? Some scrub that couldn’t win in Washington?

Not exactly. Cambpbell has improved every year of his NFL career and each year has had a new offensive coordinator.

He already gives the Raiders what they want, a 60% completion percentage and 3,000 yard passer.

Clearly a great draft for the Raiders.

Al Davis reportedly called Kirk Morrison to thank him for his service. Classy move by the old man, Kirk was a fan favorite.

Apr 242010
 

Tom Cable said in his day two press conference that Lamaar Houston would play “end” in the Raiders scheme.

What? A 305 pound end? Bigger than Desmond Bryant, Richard Seymour and Tommy Kelly,

While it would be easy to pinpoint this as a clear 3-4 indicator, the Raiders would still be lacking the much needed Nose Tackle (Cam Thomas?) to run the 3-4 defense effectively.

That isn’t to say they may not play the 3-4, but Cable’s unwillingness to commit to even playing the 3-4 at all is the real twist.

Cable wants the media and fans to wait until mini-camp. Why he wants us to wait until then is a mystery. Is it like this year’s version of the wildcat, but on defense? Why tip your hand so early if that is the case?

I remember Rich Gannon specifically mentioning how much “single high safety” the Raiders were playing in a game last year and I didn’t think much about it until now. Gannon went on to talk about how rare that was for the NFL.

Single high safety is basically a 4-4 defensive alignment where the SS would join the linebackers in the box.

Both the 3-4, the 4-4 or 3-5-3 alignment could be the new wrinkle. I guess we have to wait and see.

I can’t remember or more satisfying draft. The Raiders seemingly plugged major holes with quality players and this pattern may continue on Saturday.

Some draft pundits may criticize the ‘need’ based approach, but even the most shrewd best player available GMs are seeing how to manipulate the best player philosophy. If a player at another position is clearly better, trade back, maintain the value or even gain value in future years. Ozzie Newsome and Bill Belichick do it regularly and maybe the Raiders have caught on.

Cable indicated they moved back because there were two players they valued about the same available and they thought by moving back they could get one. I was a big fan of East Carolina’s Linval Joseph who was selected two picks later. I am left wondering if Joseph was the other player.

Jared Veldheer is a small school prospect with major upside. He has almost limitless potential to develop and could factor in at either tackle spot. He dominated lower competition on tape and fared very well against better competition in the all-star games.

Look for the Raiders to continue to add depth on the offensive line. They are also looking for depth in the secondary and a return man.

Round 4-7 Potentials:
Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB – Raw prospect, but would provide depth in the secondary and the return man the Raiders covet
Cam Thomas, DT – If the Raiders are going to switch to the 3-4 they need a nose tackle. Thomas is the best one left.
Perrish Cox, CB – Great return man and solid corner prospect.
Selvish Capers, OT – Need more depth and able bodies.
Tony Washington, OT – Another small school prospect with all the physical tools.
Bruce Campbell, OT – Physical tools, but horrible tape has killed him. Still might develop. Flyer at this point is possible.