Apr 262009
 

Graham Harrell – 628 Pass Attempts, 442 Completions for 5111 yards and 45 TD
Chris Turner – 374 Pass Attempts, 214 Completions for 2516 yards and 13 TD

Crabtree – 97 Receptions, 19 TD and 1165 yards
Heyward-Bey – 42 Receptions, 5 TD and 609 Yards

Crabtree had 22% of Harrell’s completions, 42% of the TDs and 23% of the yards
DHB had 20% of Turners completions, 38% of the TD and 24% of the yards

Very comparable, but Harrell had 9 INT in those 628 attempts and Turner had 11 INT in his 374 attempts. Harrell was a much better QB in a pass happy offense. Turner was a poor QB in a run first offense, yet DHB had comparable numbers, relatively.

Cable’s claim that DHB would have had 50 TD in the Red Raider’s offense isn’t that far fetched after all.

Here is a little more…

Maclin 102 rec, 1260 yards, 13 TD
Daniel 528 Att, 385 comp, 4335 yards, 39 TD

26% of the comp, 29% of the yards, 33% of the TDs

Maclin’s numbers are much better than both Crabtree and DHB in these areas.

Mike Teel 396, 243, 3418, 25
Kenny Britt 87, 1371, 7

That is 36% of the completions, 40% if the yards, 28% of the TD.

Britt’s is even better in yards, but worse in TDs.

Hackeem Nicks 68, 1222, 12 TD
QBs 175 of 303, 2429, 20 TD

Hackem Nicks

39% of the completions, 50% of the yards, 60% of the TDs

Nicks is the best in all of them.

I’d say this good to compare how much a guy was utilized and how much they produced based on that utilization. So the % of the completions is just a usage indicator, with the other percentages demonstrating what they were able to do with those completions.

This is good to see what a guy did with his opportunities, nothing more. DHB did about as much as Crabtree considering many fewer opportunities, while Nicks did more than the others with his. Britt had significantly more in yards, but his scoring production was behind the others.

What does it all mean? Maybe nothing, maybe something. I am present the facts, with a little of my opinion and anecdotal evidence mixed in. You can be open minded about the possibility Crabtree isn’t as good as the hype, or you can believe in the hype and disregard my stuff. That is up to you. Any player that is so hyped deserves to be broken down to see if they are that good, in my opinion.

To me, I like DHB, but I wanted Monroe. If you want to make the case for Raji or something I believe those arguments hold a little more weight than a DHB vs Crabtree if you really look at the numbers on a scale that is equalized and not based on a high powered Texas Tech offense.

Apr 242009
 

PFT had a piece from Raiderbeat.com about Crabtree Dissing the Raiders.

It was briefly removed from the chat and has now been re-posted.

Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
“I’m not cocky at all, bigjayboogie! People talk, man, but I’m a cool guy. as for playing for the Raiders, no comment.”

Then later he was asked “Why did you say no commit to playing for the raiders? Does that mean you wouldn’t like to be a raider.”

Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
“No, I’d like to play for whoever picks me.”

He either knows the Raiders aren’t going to pick him or he thinks he is going to be gone by then or he has an unfavorable view on the Raiders.

I don’t think a comment like this would preclude Davis from drafting the guy, but it sure doesn’t help.

Apr 182009
 

So with draft week here finally, I just want to remind everyone of a few historical facts when it comes to the Raiders.

1. The Raiders have not drafted an Offensive Lineman in the first round since Robert Gallery in 2004 (Norv Turner). Before that it was Matt Stinchcomb in 1999 and Mo Collins in 1998 (Jon Gruden). Before that is was Steve Wisniewski in 1989 (Shannahan with Art Shell as an Assistant).

2. Notice the direct correlation between team sucess and drafting these lineman?
2000, 2001, 2002 – Won AFC West
1990 – Won AFC West
The exception? Robert Gallery, who never played well at the position we drafted him to play. We also had Norv as Head Coach.

3. All the talk about the Raiders unorthodox offseason has got people thinking we might trade down. I find this laughable, especially now that Philly has traded away a first round pick for Jason Peters. The Raiders never trade down in the first. I don’t see it starting this year.

4. Along the lines of trades, don’t be surprised if the Raiders try to move up to get the player they want. Davis isn’t shy about doing it and it might come at a discount this season. Teams willing to move up and pay top 5 money to rookies are going to get discounts for doing it, because a rookie wage scale is only a matter of time. Team’s might want to save some cash and take a lesser player to set themselves up for the future. Especially teams with a lot of needs.

5. Don’t be surprised if the trade to move up involves a fan favorite or young player. Think along the lines of Michael Bush or Kirk Morrison. I don’t think we want to part with these guys, but Michael Bush would probably get us a nice haul.

6. Don’t be surprised if we are surprised. The Raiders like shocking people. We could move way up, move way down, etc. Al Davis loves to shock the world.

7. Al Davis likes the defensive side of the ball. I think all the talk about OTs and WRs is overblown, Davis loves defense. I think a surprise could be a DE or Jenkins, etc. Those would be Al Davis like moves.

8. We all think Tom Cable knows offensive lineman, but he liked Kwame Harris. Our scouting department MUST have a good draft. Let’s hope those old guys have something left. After all, they have loved some stinkers in the past (Such as Vince Young and Michael Huff), but also some Hall of Famer’s.

9. Nothing changes drastically in the week before the draft. That is all media hype. Don’t fall into it.

10. Throw combine numbers out the window, unless they performed better than expected in areas that were questions. If a guy runs a 4.4 and people thought of him as a 4.8 guy, that is something to note. Two tenths is easy to shave off a 40 if you have been trained, so look for big jumps from smaller school guys. I really like Johnny Knox (We are alum from the same college so perhaps I am bias).

Mar 232009
 
Apr 182008
 

I’m headed to Alameda for the draft next Saturday. I’ll have media credentials and I may have a chance to say a few words to Lane Kiffin as well. I know I’ll be able to sit in on some of his interviews and all the media conference calls, etc.

I just wanted to clue you in on what is happening with me right now, so come back often for updates. I guess this means the draft live blog I was planning is on hold, but I believe it is well worth it to be in Alameda on draft day.

Here is preview podcast as well.

7 Days and counting…