Jan 232012
 

There is always going to be a good debate between fans on how the Raiders should scheme on defense. It really doesn’t matter what side you are on, because there are good arguments for both sides. There has been speculation on what Reggie McKenzie prefers as his defense and he was asked in his introductory press conference if he preferred the 3-4 to the 4-3 defense and he indicated that he did not have a preference, although he later said “3-4 is what I know.” McKenzie has made it clear many times to the public that he intends to let the head coach hire his own staff and that the coaching staff has the freedom to run what ever scheme they feel gives the team the best chance to win.

We know that McKenzie comes over from Green Bay where they ran a 3-4 defense and won a Super Bowl while running the 3-4 defense. However, the Packers didn’t always run that style of defense. In fact, they just recently made the transition to the 3-4 defense in 2009.

What this means:

1) McKenzie has spent plenty of time around a 4-3 defense. Which is what the Raiders currently run.

2) McKenzie knows what it takes to make the conversion to a 3-4 from a 4-3.

3) McKenzie has seen what a successful 3-4 defense looks like and was part of building it.

Defensive scheme aside, McKenzie’s first order of business is finding a new head coach. Of the potential candidates to this point, four of them are defensive coaches (Winston Moss, Todd Bowles, Dennis Allen and Dom Capers). Three of the four candidates would be coming from a base 3-4 defense.

Winston Moss was hired to be the linebackers coach in Green Bay in 2006. They were still running a base 4-3 at the time. He was promoted to assistant head coach in 2007 and was the only defensive coach not fired after a horrible season in 2008. In 2009 they made the switch to the 3-4 and Moss became an inside linebackers coach. Two years later they had one of the most feared defenses in the league on their way to winning a super bowl. Since switching to the 3-4, the Packers hold a combined +58 turnover ratio in three seasons. Moss could still prefer the 4-3 to the 3-4 or he could be a convert to the 3-4. No one really knows.

Todd Bowles has been a secondary coach his entire career to this point, most recently with the Miami Dolphins, where he was also an assistant head coach. Before coming to Miami Bowles was a secondary coach for Dallas which also ran the 3-4. When Bowles was hired by Miami they were still running the 4-3, but soon after Bowles got there they also made the conversion to a 3-4 under defensive coordinator Mike Nolan. Bowles, like Moss, has 3-4 experience and has seen a team through the conversion process from a 4-3 to a 3-4 base defense.

Dennis Allen began his NFL coaching career with Atlanta in 2002 as a defensive quality control assistant. Hired by the Saints in 2006 as an assistant defensive line coach and later coached the secondary for the Saints in their 3-4 defense. Last year he was hired as the defensive coordinator of the Broncos and ended the 3-4 experiment and switched back to a 4-3.

Dom Capers has been around the league for a while and held a variety of different positions from position coach to head coach. He was hired as defensive coordinator by the Packers in 2009 to help transition their defense from a 4-3 to a 3-4. As noted above the Packers have since won a super bowl and have a +58 turnover ratio during Capers time as defensive coordinator.

McKenzie is still interviewing to make sure he finds the right guy, but it seems pretty obvious that if a defensive coach gets the job the Raiders could very well be moving to the 3-4 in the next few seasons. If McKenzie hires an offensive coach, it will be up to that coach which defensive scheme will be installed.

Regardless of how it plays out it will be an interesting offseason for the Raiders.

Jan 182012
 

Pete Carmichael Jr.
Status: Interviewed 1/13, no longer under consideration
Age: 40
Specialty: Offense/Quarterbacks
Current Position: Offensive Coordinator, New Orleans Saints
Head Coaching Experience: None
McKenzie link: unknown

Notes: Carmichael has been Sean Payton’s offensive coordinator for many years. He’s relatively young and took a greater role in playcalling this season when Sean Payton was injured. If the Raiders decide to go with an offensive mind, they could do much worse.

Todd Bowles
Status: Interviewed 1/14
Age: 48
Specialty: Defensive Backs
Previous Position: Defensive Backs Coach & Interim Head Coach, Miami Dolphins
Head Coaching Experience: 2-1 (2011 Dolphins)
McKenzie link: unknown

Notes: Bowles seems to be a rising star, but he’s never been a coordinator at the NFL level. If hired, Bowles will need to bring in strong offensive and defensive coordinator. He’s got a long history with the Bill Parcells coaching and front office tree. Has potential to stay in Miami or consider other job if he isn’t hired as a head coach.

Dennis Allen
Status: Interviewed 1/18, second interview requested.
Age: 39
Specialty: Defense
Current Position: Defensive Coordinator, Denver Broncos
Head Coaching Experience: None
McKenzie link: unknown

Notes: Head of a strong defensive unit in Denver last season, his first as defensive coordinator. Could be a rising star as he has received promotions every couple years during his coaching career. If the Raiders decide to go with a young defensive-minded coach that is familiar with the division, Allen could be the right guy.

Marty Morhinweg
Status: Interviewed 1/20. No longer under consideration.
Age: 49
Specialty: Offense
Current Position: Assistant Head Coach
Head Coaching Experience: 5-27 (2000-2001 Lions), 75-52 (Assistant Head Coach 2004-2011 Eagles)
McKenzie Link: Yes, 1995-1996 Packers

Notes: He was very bad in Detroit as a head coach, but he may get a pass considering the talent he was given and the general manager at the time was Matt Millian. He’s been Andy Reid’s assistant head coach since 2004. He’s clearly a good offensive mind that could bring the west coast offense back to the west coast.

Mike Tice
Status: Interview Cancelled.
Age: 52
Specialty: Offensive Line
Current Position: Offensive Coordinator (Promoted January 6, 2012 from offensive line coach)
Head Coaching Experience: 32-33 (2001-2005 Vikings)
McKenzie link: Unknown

Notes: Tice clearly is a good coach, he’s always landed on his feet. His head coaching stint was unfruitful and plagued by controversy. It is a potentially bad idea to bring in a coach with questionable character to try and iradicate the penalty problem in Oakland. He’s also over 50 and not a young or fresh coach that are becomming plentiful. If he was a genius, we’d know it by now.

Winston Moss
Status: Interviewed 1/14 for 4 hours.
Age: 46
Specialty: Linebackers
Current Position: Assistant Head Coach/Inside Linebackers Coach, Green Bay Packers
Head Coaching Experience: Assistant Head Coach, 55-25, 2007-2011 Packers
McKenzie link: Yes, 2006-2011 Packers

Notes: Instant favorite the Raiders search, partly because McKenzie is rumored to have said that if he ever received a General Manager position that Winston Moss would be the guy he would hire. Moss is not only and ex-Raider, but he knows McKenzie well. He was only responsible for the inside linebackers of the Packers.

Dom Capers
Status: Interview cancelled
Age: 61
Specialty: Defense/Defensive Backs
Current Position: Defensive Coordinator, Green Bay Packers
Head Coaching Experience: 48-80 (1995-1998 Panthers, 2002-2005 Texans)
McKenzie link: Yes, 2009-2011

Notes: He’s nearing retirement age and coached a defense that-while opportunitic-allowed a lot of yards. He’s been a head coach and largely been a failure. He may be a good coordinator and maybe he has learned a thing or two about being a head coach since he was fired after the 2005 season in Houston, but his age and track record are now working against him.

Tom Clements
Status: Rumored Candidate.
Age: 58
Specialty: Quarterbacks
Current Position: Quarterback Coach, Green Bay Packers
Head Coaching Experience: None
McKenzie link: Yes, 2006-2011 Packers

Notes: With the exodus of Joe Philbin he could be elevated to offensive coordinator in Green Bay. He wants to call plays, so taking a job elsewhere to become an offensive coordinator also makes sense. He’s familiar with McKenzie. Is he ready to be a head coach? He’s 58, perhaps he never will be.

Mike McCoy
Status: Reportedly Not Interested
Age: 39
Specialty: Offense
Current Position: Offensive Coordinator, Denver Broncos
Head Coaching Experience: None
McKenzie link: unknown

Notes: Will McKenzie reach out to him again after being rebuffed so McCoy could seek the Dolphins position? Probably not. He cost himself the opportunity to interview, even if he was a longshot to get the position. He’s a young offensive coach.