Sep 102012
 

Three-hundred-and-sixty-three days have passed since the Raiders opened the 2011 season against the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football, and at the time many believed the Raiders were finally back on track. Penalties were going to be a thing of the past, bullies were being built, and the only injury known to man was a “nic.” Just one year ago the Raiders were about to usher in the Hue Jackson era, and fans were hyped to see this newly created “bully” in action. Everything seemed to be falling into place for the Silver and Black and the team was poised to make a serious run at the playoffs for the first time since 2002, except the season began unfolding as if it were being scripted by the writers of Lost.

After managing to stumble to a 2-2 record to start the season, shock waves rippled through the franchise as news broke that legend and Raiders owner Al Davis had passed away.  With plenty of mixed emotions, the Raiders had a game to play the next day against the Houston Texans. They went on to win that game in the final seconds, honoring the man who had led them for the nearly 50 years.

As the dust began to settle the Raiders still had a season to finish and the hits didn’t quit coming. In the very next game, starting quarterback Jason Campbell broke his collarbone leaving the Raiders with only Kyle Boller at quarterback. Without Davis to call the shots as he had done for so long, no one was quite sure what was going to happen. The answer came two days later, when Hue Jackson was given the authority to pull off a stunner of a trade that sent a first and second-round draft pick to the Bengals for retired quarterback Carson Palmer.

As everyone tried to digest what had just taken place, there were only a few days left to prepare before the Raiders faced the division rival Kansas City Chiefs. Trying to forget what they had to give up to get him, the Raiders now had a quarterback who they thought could lead the team to the playoffs. It was just a matter of getting Carson Palmer up to speed with the offense while leaning heavily on one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL, right?

While that plan seemed to make sense at the time, Kyle Boller was quickly proving to everyone why he has not been able to hold a job in the NFL and the Raiders were hit with even worse news: Darren McFadden suffered a Lisfranc injury against the Chiefs that would cause him to miss the rest of the season. Hue Jackson contended that McFadden was “close” to returning on a weekly basis, but he never did.

Carson Palmer was left trying to pick up the pieces of a season that started out with so much hope. Unable to stay true to his word,  Jackson did not fix the penalty issue and his team set a record for the most penalties in a single season. Still, the Raiders managed to be in position to win a very weak AFC West, but failed to beat San Diego in their final game, and once again fell short of the playoffs for a ninth-straight season.

Fast forward to January 2012.  Mark Davis took over for his dad as the team’s owner and he hired Reggie McKenzie to be the next general manager. The situation seems equal to that of Aaron Rodgers replacing Brett Favre. McKenzie is replacing a legend, but he is not trying to become the next Davis. He will have to make his own name and do things his own way. Change is a process and takes time and patience which is something Raiders fans are starting to run out of after nine-straight seasons without making playoffs.

Many moves made by McKenzie and some moves he will make in the near future will be met with skepticism. That is not uncommon according to Saul Alinsky, “Change means movement. Movement means friction. Only in the frictionless vacuum of a nonexistent abstract world can movement or change occur without that abrasive friction of conflict.”

McKenzie’s road to success will not be easy, but that will not temper any existing expectations. At this point in time it’s anyone’s guess how much or how little success he will have in Oakland. However, in order to more clearly understand what is being judged, its important to be aware of the obstacles and decisions McKenzie faced upon becoming the new general manager of the Raiders.

Like most new general managers, the first order of business for  McKenzie was deciding who he wanted to have coach his team. That is not a choice you want to take likely and could ultimately decide his success early on. He was well aware of the rotating door Oakland has had with their head coaches and he needed to find a guy he trusted to help bring the Raiders back to excellence, even if immediate success was impossible. Unfortunately for Hue Jackson, he was not that man. Could the argument be made that Jackson didn’t get a fair shot? Sure, but the NFL is a business and business is not about fair.

After 18 days of searching and countless interviews, McKenzie found his guy in Dennis Allen. “When I talk about the guy I was looking for, I’m looking for a guy that could lead these men, that was passionate about the game, that was passionate about teaching, passionate about the Oakland Raiders.”  McKenzie said when introducing Allen at his press conference. “Guys, not only did coach Dennis Allen do that for me, he exceeded those expectations.”

One of the reasons this decision was so important was because McKenzie believes in giving his head coach full power over hiring his staff. That is something past head coaches in Oakland did not have, they may have had input, but it was Al Davis who made the final decisions on hiring or firing. McKenzie also noted that he and Allen will always have open communication, but  it was up to the head coach what schemes would be run. That is certainly a change of pace in Oakland.

Allen proceeded to hire Jason Tarver to run the defense, who comes with a very aggressive and multiple look defensive style which is very different from the base 4-3 man defense that had been a Raiders staple for as long as anyone can remember. Greg Knapp is back to run the offense under Allen, which means Jackson’s power blocking scheme and trickery are out and the West Coast Offense and zone-blocking scheme are in. Learning completely different schemes on both sides of the ball in one offseason is much harder than most people realize.

The hard part for McKenzie was just beginning . Now that he had a head coach, he next had to figure out a way to get the roster under control, which would be no easy task. Starring him in the face was $145 million dollars in salary for 2012 ($25 million over the salary cap) and $16 million more than the Carolina Panthers who had the next highest salary total. It was no secret that in the latter years of Al Davis’ life he was operating in a “win now” mode, which often times meant the only thing that mattered was getting who he felt was the best players he could at whatever cost was necessary. That meant a lot of traded draft picks and back-loaded contracts, many of which were well over market value.

McKenzie was left to sort it all out, trying to find a way to cut at least $25 million in salary for 2012 as well as give himself a little breathing room for free agency and signing draft picks. McKenzie had to do this while trying to maintain a competitive roster and preventing the same situation from happening next offseason. Easier said than done, especially when you are without your first, second and third-round draft picks due to roster moves made before you took over.

During that process, McKenzie was faced with difficult roster decisions on some of his core players. He wasted no time in weeding out the “out of whack” contracts and cut ties with Stanford Routt on February 9th, just over a month after he was hired. This sent a message to everyone inside and outside the organization, nothing would be handed to anyone anymore.

The year before Routt was released he was given a five-year, $54.5 million contract. No matter his opinion of Routt’s skill as a player, McKenzie knew he was not worth $10 million per year. Another major decision was how to proceed with Kamerion Wimbley, who was the Raiders best outside pass rusher. WImbley carried a contract of five years, $48 million. If Wimbley was on the roster by the start of the new league year (March 17th), he would have been owed $17.5 million in guaranteed money (including $11 million in 2012). If cut, the Raiders were only on the hook for $6.5 million, but would also lose their best edge rusher and would be in a tough spot to try to replace him.

After refusing to take a pay cut, Wimbley would eventually be released. This left the Raiders having to pay $6.5 million in dead money for 2012, but relieved them of Wimbley’s remaining contract. Kevin Boss and Cooper Carlisle were also later released, but McKenzie was able to re-work the contracts of Carson Palmer, Michael Huff, Richard Seymour and Aaron Curry to keep them on the roster. Carlisle later resigned with the Raiders at a much lower rate.

McKenzie mentioned shortly after he was hired that each position would be evaluated from front office personnel to players on the field. He said that at the right time, the appropriate changes would be made. Holding true to his word, on February 16th it was announced that long-time Senior Executive John Herrera would no longer work for the new Raiders front office. Known in many circles as Al Davis’ “yes man”, John Herrera—mostly known for denying every media report regardless of truth—represented the exact image that McKenzie wanted to change. Zak Gilbert was later hired as director of Media Relations and Mike Taylor was hired as Director of Pubic Affairs going forward. As many have noted, the Raiders have since become much more open and media friendly.

McKenzie’s next major moves came in the form of re-vamping the football operations personnel. Shaun Herock (son on Ken Herock) who worked with McKenzie in Green Bay was hired as the director of college scouting and Reggie’s twin brother Raleigh was also hired to help in the scouting department. McKenzie also brought Joey Clinkscales from the New York Jets to work as director of personnel. Clinkscales served as the V.P. of college scouting with the Jets and was a college teammate and childhood friend of McKenzie.

Tonight, the Raiders will open the 2013 season against the San Diego Chargers with a new general manager, new front office personnel, new media relations, new scouting department, new coaching staff, new offensive and defensive schemes and 23 new players on the 53-man roster. The Raiders are truly starting fresh is 2012. It’s almost mind-blowing how much change has taken place in such a short amount of time.

Only time will tell how successful year one will be for the new-era Raiders. Most fans seem to agree that this team is just as good, if not better than a year ago which is a pretty incredible feat considering the circumstances.

 

 

Nov 182011
 

This Sunday the Raiders travel to Minnesota and face the Vikings. This game will feature two of the top five rushing teams in the league. While the Vikings run All Day (Adrian Peterson), their passing game is anemic. While defending the run is the Vikings’ strength, stopping the pass is their weakness. The Raiders’ offense leads the NFL with 56 plays over 20 yards and 11 plays over 40 yards, but the Raiders’ defense have given up more 20+ yard runs than any team.

Regardless of the numbers, the Raiders will take advantage of Vikings rookie quarterback Christian Ponder. Even though Minnesota has a stout defensive line, their offense remains unbalanced and largely ineffective. This will allow the Raiders to wear down the Vikings’ defensive line and make big plays. For good reason, the Raiders are favored to win this game, and barring another systemic defensive catastrophe, they will.

Taking a look at the other AFC West teams, we see Denver upsetting the Jets, San Diego traveling to Chicago, and Kansas City going to New England. Even though Denver won, San Diego and Kansas City are underdogs by at least three points. This weekend, the Raiders are expected to win, and their remaining divisional foes are expected to lose. If all goes as expected, at the conclusion of this week’s games the Raiders will have a one-game lead over Denver and a two-game lead over the other divisional teams. After this weekend, the Raiders will have six games left, the last two of which are divisional games.

With a victory this Sunday, the Raiders will gain momentum to make a serious run during the home stretch of the season. With games against Green Bay, Chicago, and Detroit looming, the Raiders have a chance to stake their claim in being an elite NFL team.

This weekend, the Raiders will take an important step in being a premier football team. They will become a team who controls their destiny and will take a serious step toward making the playoffs for the first time since 2002. So, Raider Nation: the Raiders are in the driver’s seat and the road is open. Cheers!

Nov 152011
 

Until Denver and their spread option read came and put up nearly 300 rushing yards on them, including two 100-yard rushers, the Raiders allowed only Fred Jackson to post a 100-yard rushing game. Four days after the Denver game, the Raiders held an offense that averages over 100 rushing yards a game to 68. So what happened two weeks ago against Denver?

Did the Raiders defensive ends play undisciplined? Yes. Were the linebackers often late in filling lanes and did they often fill the wrong ones repeatedly? Yes. Did the entire front seven of the defense get manhandled by Denver’s offensive line? Yes. Is there anything else that led to the Raiders’ defensive collapse two weeks ago? Yes: the absence of Rolando McClain.

McClain has only missed one game, that being of course Denver at home. In that game, Curry had the green dot on the defense and the Raiders run defense was atrocious. Regardless of the Raiders having a dominant defensive line, the middle linebacker is the undisputed quarterback and leader of the defense. It is McClain’s job to get everybody aligned and on the same page. When McClain was out, the Raiders couldn’t stop the option read because they were not on the same page and kept on making the same mistakes.

Starting the season, the Raiders linebackers weren’t the strength or the weakness of the defense. As games went, there grew a linebacker problem and a move was made. Now, with no real depth, the Raiders linebacking corps consists of McClain, Curry and Wimbley. With the Raiders rarely running their base 4-3 defense and Wimbley doing the most damage in a three-point stand, McClain and Curry form the core of this unit. It was apparent in the Denver game that Curry is currently unable to lead like McClain.

McClain is not perfect. He often reacts slowly, plays too high, misses tackles, gets sealed off easily, and gets exposed in open space, but he has something that no other Raider linebacker has. He is far from being a dominant linebacker who makes his physical presence known every game, but he sure is missed when he doesn’t play. McClain hasn’t come close to exceeding expectations, but, by making his presence missed, when he doesn’t play, he has met them.

Nov 042011
 

Both Tim Tebow and Carson Palmer are coming off performances they would love to forget.  After orchestrating a heroic comeback against Miami, Tebow fell flat at home against Detroit, while Carson’s last outing resulted in 3 interceptions in one half of football.

For Palmer, the Raiders bye was anything but an “off week” as he spent some of the mandatory off days gaining chemistry with receivers Jacoby Ford and Darius Heyward-Bey.

“There’s no comparison to last week…I’m comfortable with the entire playbook.  I’m comfortable with the guys,” Palmer said.

The Raiders added to Palmer’s familiarity by signing veteran free agent wide receiver T.J. Houshmanzadeh.  Houshmandzadeh will help out in the slot. He’s a big body that’s not afraid of contact and can go over the middle.  Palmer and Houshmandzadeh played together in Cincinnati and worked out together last summer.  Palmer will look for his safety blanket primarily on third downs.

Perhaps the definition of “Tebowing” should be changed to throwing the ball 10 yards behind a receiver, because that’s all Tim Tebow was doing Sunday against the Lions.  Tebow held the ball in the pocket for too long and the result was 7 sacks.  He was a dismal 18 of 39 passing and some of those throws weren’t even close.  The euphoria in Denver around Tebow is quickly evaporating. Doubt has grown in Denver all week about his ability to play the position at a pro level.

 

OFFENSE

The Raiders will be without Darren McFadden, who suffered a sprain in his foot early on in Week 7.  With the big match-up against San Diego looming next Thursday night, its best to rest him this week and get him as close to 100% as possible for the Chargers.

The Raiders are lucky to have a player of Michael Bush’s caliber as their backup running-back. He is not McFadden, but Bush would probably be the starter on 15 other NFL teams.  Bush should touch the ball at least 20 times, with change-of-pace Taiwan Jones getting more of a load this week.

Much of the Raiders’ success the rest of the way will fall on the arm of Carson Palmer.  He needs to show off the arm strength observers believe he has lost.  Now that Palmer is familiar with the playbook and the stable of young athletic receivers, he should have a good day against a less than stalwart Broncos defense.  Houshmanzadeh will make his Raider debut and it will be interesting to see if the chemistry he has with Palmer will carry over.

You usually don’t mention a kicker when breaking down the offensive keys for a football game, but Sebastian Janikowski is a weapon.  He will test his hamstring on Friday and Saturday. Dave Rayner’s cell number being is on speed dial in case he can’t go.

X-Factor – Marcel Reece, Fullback

The Raiders finally had a healthy Reece in practice this week.  Reece not only is a reliable blocking fullback, he is a special talent catching balls out of the backfield.  Screen plays, quick angle and flat patterns; his hands and athleticism are rivaled by few, if any, at that position.  Manase Tonga and Richard Gordon filled in admirably in his absence, but there is no replacing this special player.

 

DEFENSE

 Chuck Bresnahan is salivating at the chance to spring his defense loose on struggling quarterback Tim Tebow.  The only way Tebow will be able to hurt the Raiders is with his legs by turning broken plays into positive yards.  The Raiders will most likely continue to blitz, but I think you won’t see it as much this week.  The defense will force Tebow to make his reads and make the accurate throw in coverage, something he was unable to do last weekend against Detroit.  The Broncos offensive line has struggled for much of the year, so expect the Raiders big boys up front to be a major factor.

Denver running back Willis McGahee was limited in practice with a broken hand and is questionable for Sunday.  He has three 100-yard rushing games since he took over as the starting role in Week 2 and is enjoying a healthy 4.5 yards a carry.  The Raiders will predictably key on the Broncos ground game and force Tebow to make them pay through the air.

X-Factor – Richard Seymour, Defensive Tackle

The anchor on the Raiders defensive line had a great Week 1 performance against the Broncos, registering two sacks on Kyle Orton.  The Lions took down Tebow 7 times last week. Expect number 92 to be a frequent presence in the Denver backfield all afternoon.

Prediction: The Raiders were embarrassed by Kansas City at home in a loss much too reminiscent of the dark years between 2002-2010.  The Raiders have a great opportunity to get back in the win column against a struggling Broncos team.  Expect Palmer to play better (he can’t do any worse) than last week. The Raiders should be 5-3 heading into San Diego.

Nov 032011
 

In the six quarters following Jason Campbell’s injury the Raiders offense has a grand total of 277 passing yards, 6 interceptions and 0 touchdowns. The Raiders have scored 10 points in those quarters, 6 from a perfectly executed fake field goal. With extra work being put in by Carson Palmer and the wide receivers during the bye week, hopefully the Raiders offense has hit its lowest point and is on its way back up.

Last game vs. Kansas City was a debacle and downright embarrassing. The Raiders were shutout in a game they were expected to win. Not only did Kansas City end the Raiders domination of the AFC West, but the victory has supplied the Chiefs with enough momentum to make another run in the AFC West. It’s three way tie for first place. The AFC West is officially up for grabs.

In the coming weeks, Oakland, Kansas City and San Diego all face Green Bay and Chicago. San Diego and Oakland face Detroit. Kansas City will host the Steelers and travel to New England and New York to see the Jets. San Diego will play host to Buffalo and Baltimore. The Raiders on the other hand go to Minnesota and Miami. Inside the division, Oakland faces San Diego twice while playing Kansas City once and each team faces Denver once more.

For the Raiders to take advantage of their comparably soft schedule, they need to rebound this Sunday. Luckily Tim Tebow and the maligned Denver Broncos come into Oakland. Tebow may be the NFL’s worst starting quarterback. Tebow is far worse than a quarterback who returned from “retirement” and might have thrown 3 interceptions in less than a half. What’s sad is that Tebow played worse than his 18-39 for 179 yards and 1 tocuhdown, and 1 interception, 7 sack and 3 fumble performance has indicated.

Tebow’s performance last week provided more than enough fodder for his critics to last until Thanksgiving. This game is a golden opportunity for the Raiders defensive line to feast on an inept quarterback and to show its strength. Chuck Bresnahan can dial up the blitzes and feel confident that any blitz will fluster Tebow.

Up to now, this game is the most important game of the season. Not because it is the next game and not just because it is on a short list of very important games the Raiders have played in November. Rather, this game will show what course the rest of the Raiders season will go. If the Raiders are to go to the playoffs and be contenders, then they have to win games they are expected to win and it starts with flustering Tebow and dominating the Broncos.

NFL teams can never be underestimated and every win is hard fought, but a 4-4 record at the midpoint would be a massive disappointment. After suffering a blowout reminiscent of the dark ages, the Raiders confidence needs a boost. The Raiders desperately need a pick-me-up to get back on track. Lucky for the Raiders, the worst quarterback and one of the worst teams in the league are coming to town.