Nov 012011
 

Who said there wouldn’t be studs and duds because of the bye week?

Studs

Phillip Rivers

Thanks for dropping the ball. The Chiefs are the luckiest 4-3 team in the league right now and the Chargers now have the most difficult second half schedule. A Chiefs win put the Raiders in the driver’s seat in the AFC west despite not playing a game. Thanks Mr. Rivers!

Raiders Receivers

Giving up your vacation to work isn’t a choice a lot of people would make. Most of the Raiders receivers stayed to get their timing down with Carson Palmer. Darrius Heyward-Bey, Jacoby Ford and Louis Murphy were together at dinner on one of the off days indicating they stayed behind. It’s possible other receivers stayed also. Studs of the bye week.

John Fox/John Elway

Thanks for sticking with Tim Tebow for one more week. Poor guy might not make it out of Oakland uninjured.

 

Duds

Hue Jackson

Stop it. If you wanted to bring in T.J. Houshmandzadeh since the beginning of the season and he was any good he would have been brought in for a workout earlier. Just admit that Carson Palmer feels comfortable with Houshmadnzadeh and sometimes you bring in a guy to help your new quarterback. Then go on to explain he is now healthy and still a good player. Sometimes Mr. Jackson, you don’t need to play games. The fans still like you Mr. Jackson, but don’t win and the BS starts tasting bitter.

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Oct 182011
 

Huge action from Hue Jackson. Aaron Curry last week. Carson Palmer today.

The Raiders gave up a lot for Palmer, but he’s a better quarterback than Jason  Campbell. The Raiders lost Campbell for a significant period of time and were faced with starting Kyle Boller for the rest of the season if they didn’t make a move for a quarterback.

The time is now for the Raiders and Hue Jackson pushed all his chips into the middle by bringing in Carson Palmer. The Raiders have only two picks left in the 2012 draft and with the Carson Palmer trade started dealing 2013 draft selections.

This trade and the moves of the past two seasons setup the Raiders for success going forward. Allow us to examine position-by-position and pick-by-pick and what the future may hold for this team and why the move for Carson Palmer was still a good one.

If the Raiders go far in the playoffs under Palmer those draft picks become low in each round and with most of the young players on the roster locked up for the next two seasons the time is now for the Silver and Black. Below is a snapshot of the Raiders outlook going forward.

2012 Draft
1st: Carson Palmer
2nd: Taiwan Jones and Joseph Barksdale
3rd: Terrelle Pryor
4th: Jason Campbell
7th: Aaron Curry

Compensatory Picks for Nnamdi Asomugha, Robert Gallery and Zach Miller should net a third and up to a fourth-round pick.

2013 Draft

1st: Palmer if team gets team to AFC Championship game*
2nd: Palmer if the team doesn’t  get to AFC Championship*

*Conflicting reports as to the compensation.

Notable 2012 Free Agents

Michael Bush – Will he be content to be a backup or will he be able to get a mega-deal elsewhere? Time will tell and he could be a casualty of the Raiders cap situation.

Chaz Schilens – His injuries really sidelined his career. He could be retained for cheap as a backend WR.

Tyvon Branch – Is Mike Mitchell ready? Has Branch taken the leap that the Raiders have wanted him to make? Either way, he shouldn’t command a large amount

Marcel Reece – He’s a fullback and the Raiders will pay him well for that position.

Jason Campbell – He’ll find a new home next season. Good dude, average quarterback. Unfortunate circumstances.

Quarterback

Carson Palmer is the guy now and for the next few years. Pryor will be given the Aaron Rodgers treatment.

Runningback

Darren McFadden and Taiwan Jones. Michael Bush is unknown going forward. The Raiders will need to add some depth at the position, but as long as McFadden is healthy this is still the biggest strength on the team. Reece will be back next season as well.

Receiver

Darrius Heyward-Bey, Denarius Moore, Jacoby Ford, Louis Murphy are all under contract through 2012. Those guys are the anchors of this group and Chaz Schilens and various other will fill it out. An exciting young group that was a huge weakness just two seasons ago.

Offensive line

Very young group that has come together nicely this season. The Raiders will eventually ease Bruce Campbell and Joseph Barksdale into the mix on the left side. Needs to add depth, but they should be able to find quality depth for cheap on the free agent market if needed.

Defensive line

Richard Seymour is around for at least two more seasons along with Tommy Kelly. The Raiders defensive line may begin to show signs of age in the coming seasons, but as it stands now this is a strong group. Expect the Raiders to re-tool the defensive line in the 2013 draft.

Linebacker

Rolando McClain is playing in his sophomore season so he has at least two more seasons before the Raiders look elsewhere. Kamerion Wimbley just signed a new deal and the Raiders think they can make something out of Aaron Curry. The group still needs depth and there are some questions here, but it isn’t the most pressing need on the team and the Raiders can likely address it without a high draft pick.

Cornerback

Stanford Routt signed a new deal and the Raiders drafted two corners in Demarcus Van Dyke and Chimdi Chekwa. The position needs depth. When one player goes down the Raiders turn to free safety Michael Huff as a corner. If there is one position to worry about not having many 2012 draft picks it is at the cornerback position.

Safety

Michael Huff signed a new deal this offseason. Branch is a free agent in 2012 and unless the Raiders feel like Mitchell can play at the same level as Branch he’ll likely be the Raiders top priority going into 2012.

Oct 152011
 

Quarterback

Jason Campbell had a very average game last week, throwing for 190 yards. His games have been alternating pretty steadily from the 100s to 300s. If the trend continues this week, look for him to get somewhere in the 300s for yardage. He is averaging two touchdowns and is low risk when it comes to interceptions. Plan for at least one or each for Campbell when choosing which QB to play.

Running Back

Last week was Darren McFadden’s worst all season with only 51 yards and no touchdowns. In that particular game, the carries he did make were crucial, but that doesn’t always translate into fantasy points. This week he should get somewhere around 100 yards with at least one touchdown. Michael Bush also had his worst game last week with a just 9 yards. This will not happen again. The whole running game was a bit off last week, but this week the team is at home so look for Bush to get his standard 30 yards and maybe vulture a touchdown. Cartwright’s yards came on special teams so you can’t count on him for fantasy points. Taiwan Jones is in the same boat. He’ll likely get you no points.

Wide Receivers

Darrius Heyward-Bey, one of Al Davis’ latest controversial and bold moves, came through last week in a big way vs. the Houston Texans. In fact, DHB has 11 catches for 214 yards in the past 2 weeks, making him a viable pick-up in fantasy circles.  Coach Davis has gotten a lot of flak for reaching for freakishly athletic talents with blazing speed. DHB was the first the first WR taken in the 2009 draft ahead of supposed can’t miss stud WR Michael Crabtree for this very reason. The reason pundits and analysts look down on DHB was his route-running and questionable ability to catch the ball. Coach Davis lives by the mantra you can teach ability, but you can’t teach speed and knew that all DHB needed was good coaching and the belief his team has in him to deliver. And in his third year in the league, Coach Davis’ vision for DHB is finally coming into fruition. The time has come for many fantasy owners to buy his stock and DHB is a strong WR3 start this week and viable WR2 option vs. the Browns who may be missing top cornerback Joe Haden.

Additionally, the Raiders are also looking for the return of Louis Murphy back into this offense. Fantasy-wise, this doesn’t bode well for Denarius Moore or Jacoby Ford. After a fast start, Moore put up a zero last week vs. the Texans despite his high snap count and targets. After DHB, Moore makes for a strong sneaky flex start if you need his services. This Hue Jackson-led offense is looking Moore’s way and is counting on his big play ability to take the pressure off Darren McFadden. Look for Ford to return kicks and be a viable threat in that front.

Tight End

Kevin Boss was not productive last week vs. the Texans in an emotional game. Look for Boss’ role in this offense to fluctuate, making him just a fantasy prospect at this point. The tight-end position is deep this year and you can look elsewhere. Looking across the sidelines, Ben Watson is a solid plug and play candidate for fantasy as he is getting a ton of work with Colt McCoy actively looking towards the tight ends this year.

Kicker

Seabass – Nothing to see here. He’s a weapon from this team, making the Raiders that much better in close games knowing that Janikowski tied a league long 63 yard field goal earlier this year.  I would suggest even keeping him on your roster during the Raiders’ bye week in Week 8 and trying to find a kicker without dropping him.

Defense/Special Teams

Savvy fantasy players will mostly play defenses by matchups. If you employ this strategy, the Raiders D/ST is a viable option this week vs. the Browns. Nothing about this offense scares you as the team is looking for its identity after its bye. Coach Pat Shurmur has said that he is going back to feeding Peyton Hillis the ball. While he is a bruiser, the Browns is not likely to put up 30 or 40 points this week. The Raiders’ special teams also have upside with Jacoby Ford returning kicks for potential scores.

Gut Check

 Posted by at 1:00 PM  1 Response »
Sep 232011
 

After a week one win, on Monday night, against a division rival, the Raiders and the Raider Nation were flying high. The opening game curse was broken, the Prime Time curse was broken, Hue Jackson was 1-0 as a head coach, and the Raiders were back. Week 2 has brought everyone back down to earth a little. Welcome to the first, but probably not last time the Raiders have to look in the mirror and decide what kind of team they are going to be this year.

Hue Jackson had a lot of time this off-season to say what he wanted to say. Get his message across to everyone. The time for talk, however, is now in the past. This is a different Raiders team under Hue Jackson, but one win on Monday Night Football is not going to convince anyone. He has to get his persona to show through his players. That’s what good coaches do. Rex Ryan is able to get his attitude to show through his players on the field. Bill Belichick is able to get his players to always be right mentally. Mike Tomlin has his players always playing with a nasty edge.  Hue Jackson says he is “building a bully”  so he has to find a way to get that attitude to show through his players on Sunday or it’s just words. Gut check coach Hue Jackson, bullies get even.

The offense is playing with the “next man up” philosophy and have been impressive. Jason Campbell is playing his best football as a pro, making good decisions, trusting in his guys, being a leader, and most importantly throwing the ball well. Don’t forget that just about all his weapons on offense have been out at some point too. Darren McFadden, broken orbital bone. Michael Bush, not signed right away and arrived at training camp late. Jacoby Ford, broken hand and now out with hamstring injury. Louis Murphy, sports hernia surgery. Darrius Heyward-Bey, had a mysterious injury to start camp, and now has a knee injury. Chaz Schilens, suffered a knee injury in preseason. Kevin Boss, has a sprained MCL. Taiwan Jones, had hamstring issues that kept him out most of camp.

With all that going on Campbell has led this team and has played pretty well. That is a tremendous positive and should not be overlooked. The offense did what they had to do Sunday versus the Bills only to come away with a loss. The defenses will only get tougher the more film there is and the surprise factor is gone. Now the Raiders have to find a way to keep scoring and not start to breakdown like in years past. Gut check time offense, after putting up 35 in a losing effort, will you follow it up or take a step back?

The defense had a stats party week one. They shut down the run, had 5 sacks, they were creating turnovers, their blitzes were getting home and they felt invincible. That feeling carried over into the Bills game as well. At least for the first half. Then came one of the biggest drop offs on defense in recent memory. The Bills had the ball five times in the second half and scored five touchdowns. The Raiders had no answer. They had opportunities just like in week one, but this time, they didn’t cash in. They couldn’t get anything to go right, and at the end of the game they were left thinking to themselves “What just happened?” IT’S GUT CHECK TIME! The kind of games like the one last Sunday defines teams. They can accept that they were exposed or take it personally and make it right.

Winning is easy; losing teaches you about yourself.

Sep 222011
 

Rating players is obviously a highly subjective business. Scouts spend time identifying traits that translate and there are a multitude of factors that go into if a player is successful including confidence, situation, scheme, etc. Madden ratings always spark discussion.

For the purposes of rating the Raiders receivers I chose hands, jumping, speed, acceleration and route running as I believe these are the primary “traits” that dictate whether a receiver is a good receiver. I rate these five traits on a Madden-like scale of 100.

I didn’t factor in blocking of any kind. It’s a factor, but a receiver’s primary job is to receive. Some other traits are included in the five I chose.

Hands – Pretty straight forward. You could almost see this as the percentage of time the receiver uses his hands to catch the pass.

Jumping – Does the receiver have leaping ability? Can the receiver jump over a cornerback to make a play on a ball in the air?

Speed – Top end speed. Is the guy fast or just average?

Acceleration – Does he get to top speed quickly? This is quickness.

Route Running – Does the player work back to the ball and use his body to screen off defenders? Can the receiver find soft spots in zone coverage and get off the press? Does the player maintain their speed in and out of their breaks? This is all route running.

The biggest thing to note about this grading process is that I didn’t calculate the overall score until I had finished grading all the players. I didn’t know what order the players would be in until I was done. I did this to see if I could come up with an honest “ranking” of the Raiders receivers.

The rankings came in so close that a slight adjustment to any of the ratings could change the order. For the purposes of this exercise all five attributes are given equal weight. Obviously any shift in these weights would also significantly alter the overall ratings.

 Jacoby Ford
Hands: 88 – Ford will occasionally break down and let the ball get into his body, but he is pretty good about using his hands
Jumping: 94 – Ford will go up and fight for the ball. He’s not afraid to leap and is able to beat corners on jump balls despite his stature
Speed: 99 – Ford is one of the fastest players in the entire league.
Acceleration: 99 – Quick and fast. He gets to his top end speed in a flash.
Routes: 89 – Ford is still improving this area, particularly when it comes to working his way back to the quarterback and finding soft spots in zone coverage.
Overall: 94

Denarius Moore
Hands: 92 – Good hands. Rarely breaks down and catches the ball in his chest. Could be a conservative grade because he is a rookie.
Jumping: 96 – Excellent leaping ability. He’s shown this time and again. He showed it Sunday.
Speed: 95 – Moore is real fast, but he’s not Jacoby fast.
Acceleration: 94 – Gets to top end quickly.
Routes: 81 – He’s a rookie, this will come around. Until which time his routes are better he will make plays using his other attributes.
Overall: 92

Chaz Schilens
Hands: 95 – Very soft hands.
Jumping: 77 – He’s tall, but not really a leaping grab receiver.
Speed: 90 – Has lost a few steps with all the knee surgeries.
Acceleration: 93 – Still seems to get to his top end within a reasonable time.
Routes: 90 – Runs good routes. Clean. Occasionally rounds off a route.
Overall: 89

Louis Murphy
Hands: 81 – Has his problems with drops at times. Inconsistent.
Jumping: 83 – Average leaping ability.
Speed: 92 – Fast enough to do everything.
Acceleration: 94 – Gets to his top speed quickly. Good quickness to pair with good speed.
Routes: 88 – He’s pretty solid in this area, but he has room to improve. Haven’t seen him play yet this year.
Overall: 88

Darrius Heyward-Bey
Hands: 77 – Catches way too many balls with his chest. Has improved, but still needs work.
Jumping: 81 – Can leap, but isn’t coming down with many passes or beating the defender in the air.
Speed: 96 – He’s fast, but takes long strides.
Acceleration: 93 – Long strides mean he gets up to speed a little slower than many players as fast as he is.
Routes: 89 – Much improved area. He’s running routes that enable him to gain separation from the defenders.
Overall: 87

Derek Hagan
Hands: 93 – Very solid hands.
Jumping: 78 – Not really a leaping threat.
Speed: 84 – More of a 3rd down weapon
Acceleration: 88 – Will not blow people away off the line
Routes: 83 – Struggles to work his way back to the quarterback, but does find soft spots in zone.
Overall: 85

My breakout candidate for 2011 is Darrius Heyward-Bey, but as you can see from this grading he came in as the fifth receiver. The lowest ranked receiver is Derek Hagan with an 85. I’m sure some of you will have fun with this ranking. I’ll reiterate that I like Hagan.

How would you rate the Raiders receivers physical attributes? When you calculate their overall rating (Total/5) do they still rank how you thought they would?

Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.