Skip to main content

Raiders Can't Afford Asomugha

After crunching a few numbers, making a few educated estimations, and updating some old salary cap data one thing is clear: The Raiders can't afford Nnamdi Asomugha.

The Raiders may only be able to afford Zach Miller or Michael Huff, and not both.

If the Salary Cap were in place in 2010, the Raiders total salary cap figure would have been $132 million.

As of  January 13, the Raiders cap figure for 2011 was $85.8 million. This was prior to new deals for Stanford Routt, Richard Seymour as well as the franchise tender given to Kamerion Wimbley.

Based upon my calculations, the Raiders figure is between $118 million and $130 million for 2011.

The two methods deployed to come up with this range were using the $85.8 and adding the money committed in contracts after January 13. The second was utilizing the contracts page on Rotoworld.com and compensating for any guarantees the player may have.

Obviously both methods are flawed which is why the range is so large. $12 million could be the difference between signing two marquee players instead of one. Assume the higher figure is correct, because it utilizes known data and fewer estimations.

We don't know what the salary cap will be and any true salary cap analysis and free agent speculation will have to wait until finite numbers are worked out.

What we know: NFL revenue in 2010 was $9.3 billion and is projected to rise 4%. The players share is rumored to be 48% of total revenue. Estimated salary cap 2011: $145 million per team.

If this is correct, the Raiders would have about $15 million to sign rookies and free agents. Approximately $5 million would be reserved for rookies.

That leaves just about $10 million in cap room. That's just about enough for one or two free agents and filling out the rest of the roster.

Unlike in past seasons, not many Raiders players have huge base salaries that would equal huge cap savings if the player was cut. Teams are always able to move around money and Al Davis has been one of the best at doing it in the past. In this case there isn't much flexibility.

If Zach Miller and Michael Huff each cut into the cap at around $5 million per year the Raiders would be rubbing right against the cap. This would make it difficult to fill out the rest of the roster with quality players.

Asomugha could count as much as $14 million against the cap. There just isn't room for Asomugha unless the Raiders reshuffle the deck with trick cards. Even a long-term back-loaded contract isn't going to equal huge cap savings.

The Raiders set themselves up the best they could, locking down players they wanted and will let the market determine if they can keep Michael Huff and Zach Miller.

As for Asomugha, it isn't that the Raiders wouldn't pay him if they could, it's that they will now be limited by a salary cap that makes it near impossible.

Obviously, things are very fluid with the new collective bargaining agreement and can and likely will change. No guarantee can be made that the Raiders can't work voodoo magic.

Comments

  1. [...] Raiders Can’t Afford Asomugha | Raiders Blog RaideroftheSith aka "Sith". Reply With Quote + Reply to Thread [...]

    ReplyDelete
  2. [...] Raiders can’t means to re-sign giveaway representative CB Nnamdi [...]

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mr Davis will just rewrite a few contracts, he does it every year.

    There's ALWAYS money in Raiderland.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Writer is smoking crack. The Raiders have a lot of cap room but a lot of UFA. Do your research dude.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Did I not do two salary cap calculations? That's not research? Did you read? Actually not that many UFA they haven't signed that they want to keep.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Oakland Raiders Swing for the Fences in 2016 NFL Draft

[embed align="center"]http://gty.im/153039819[/embed]
These aren't your daddy's Oakland Raiders or even your younger self's Raiders. If anything, these are your newborn's Raiders or your puppy's Raiders. These are the Raiders we've never seen before.

Indicative of the freshness of the franchise was their 2016 NFL Draft. No longer slave to a high draft pick and desperate needs, the theme of the draft for the Raiders was upside.

It's as if general manager Reggie McKenzie got so used to hitting his draft picks out of the park that he started swinging for the fences. We'll have to wait a couple of years before we know if he struck out or if he'll continue his Ruthian ways.

First, McKenzie boldly went with a safety at No. 14 overall. Kyle Joseph is coming off a torn ACL and fills a major need, but safety isn't a premium position. Only a handful of safeties have been drafted in the first 14 picks in the last 15 years and include names like Earl …

Final 53-Man Roster Prediction

The Oakland Raiders will trim their roster to 53 players today. Expect them to make at least two waiver claims Sunday to address needs at defensive back and on the offensive line. As such, there are a couple guys on this final roster who could be waived on Sunday and could subsequently find their way onto the team's practice squad.

As is, I've included a list of players who are candidates for the practice squad. There is some positional imbalance on the 53-man roster as I expect the Raiders to balance it out with a few waiver claims.

[table id=8 /]

The Raiders aren't who we thought they were....they're better

The Oakland Raiders are tired of being the team that will be good in a year or two. The team expects to win now and it is winning now.

We thought the Raiders needed more talent. We thought that being in the playoff hunt was a year away for this team, but we were wrong. This isn't the team we thought they were, they're better.

On Sunday, they moved to 3-3 on Sunday with a 37-29 win over the San Diego Chargers that wasn't close until the final minute. It was also the Raiders second road win of the season. The last time the Raiders had two road wins by their sixth game was 2011. Before that, a five-year streak from 1998-2002.

The Raiders went 8-8 in 1998, 1999 and 2011 and narrowly missed the playoffs each year.  They made the playoffs in 2000, 2001 and 2002. They didn't have a losing record in any of those seasons because teams that can win on the road are usually pretty good.

As the season matures, there is more and more evidence that some of the "best-case scenarios&q…