Skip to main content

Marshall Trade: Bittersweet

In the widely speculated trade of Brandon Marshall, the Broncos traded him this morning for a second round pick in 2010 and 2011 to the Miami Dolphins.

The initial impluse is to be glad Marshall is out of the division, but this is a bad trade for the AFC West.

What should be the reaction is: How did Denver managed to get two second round picks for Marshall?


Santonio Holmes was recently traded for a fifth round pick.
Career stats:
4 seasons
60 games
235 receptions (3.92 per game avg)
3835 yards (63.92 per game avg)
20 TD (.33 per game avg)

Roy Williams traded a year ago for first, third, and a sixth/seventh swap
Career stats:
6 seasons
85 games
319 receptions (3.75 avg)
4678 yards (55.04)
37 TD (.44)

Brandon Marshall traded for two second round picks.
Career stats
4 seasons
61 games
327 receptions (5.36 avg)
4019 yards (65.89)
25 TD (.41)


Marshall’s worth over Holmes:
1.49 receptions per game (~3 receptions over a 2 game span)
1.97 yards per game
0.08 TDs per game (1 TD more every 12 games)

Marshall’s worth over Williams:
1.61 reception (~3 receptions over a 2 game span)
10.85 yards
-.03 (About equal, basically equal to 1 TD every 3 seasons)

In what has been a wacky offseason, Denver was able to acquire quite a haul in a deal for Brandon Marshall considering his level of production.

Two second round picks is arguable MORE than what the Cowboys gave up for Roy Williams. (Second round picks in the 2010 draft are like first round picks in any other year and another second round pick is more valuable than a third and sixth round swap for a seventh.)

Marshall is more likely to make good on the deal for the Dolphins than Roy Williams has for the Cowboys, but perhaps not so much more than Holmes for the Jets.

While Raider Nation will undoubtedly believe the trade is sweet with Marshall is out of the division, Denver owning two premium picks could leave certainly leave a bitter after taste.



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Oakland Raiders Swing for the Fences in 2016 NFL Draft

[embed align="center"]http://gty.im/153039819[/embed]
These aren't your daddy's Oakland Raiders or even your younger self's Raiders. If anything, these are your newborn's Raiders or your puppy's Raiders. These are the Raiders we've never seen before.

Indicative of the freshness of the franchise was their 2016 NFL Draft. No longer slave to a high draft pick and desperate needs, the theme of the draft for the Raiders was upside.

It's as if general manager Reggie McKenzie got so used to hitting his draft picks out of the park that he started swinging for the fences. We'll have to wait a couple of years before we know if he struck out or if he'll continue his Ruthian ways.

First, McKenzie boldly went with a safety at No. 14 overall. Kyle Joseph is coming off a torn ACL and fills a major need, but safety isn't a premium position. Only a handful of safeties have been drafted in the first 14 picks in the last 15 years and include names like Earl …

Looking Forward: Raiders 2012 Free Agents

Khalif Barnes - Weakest link on the offensive line with youth behind him. Raiders will look for for other options. It's not as if there aren't a dozen Khalif's on the street each year.

Darryl Blackstock - Was a Chuck Bresnahan guy, but found a home on special teams. Would have to make the team as a reserve LB and special teams guy next training camp. Wouldn't be surprised to see him back as a camp body or gone entirely.

Kyle Boller - Hue didn't have enough confidence to turn to Boller. Expect the Raiders to look elsewhere for a backup to Carson Palmer.

Jerome Boyd - Was nothing more than a reserve and special teams player. Some good moments and some very bad ones. Camp body again and fate will depend on the defensive coordinator.

Tyvon Branch - About the only consistent producer in the secondary. Raiders will want to bring him back.

Desmond Bryant - He's been great in limited action and can play inside and out. Key reserve.

Michael Bush - He'll find a home as a s…

The Raiders aren't who we thought they were....they're better

The Oakland Raiders are tired of being the team that will be good in a year or two. The team expects to win now and it is winning now.

We thought the Raiders needed more talent. We thought that being in the playoff hunt was a year away for this team, but we were wrong. This isn't the team we thought they were, they're better.

On Sunday, they moved to 3-3 on Sunday with a 37-29 win over the San Diego Chargers that wasn't close until the final minute. It was also the Raiders second road win of the season. The last time the Raiders had two road wins by their sixth game was 2011. Before that, a five-year streak from 1998-2002.

The Raiders went 8-8 in 1998, 1999 and 2011 and narrowly missed the playoffs each year.  They made the playoffs in 2000, 2001 and 2002. They didn't have a losing record in any of those seasons because teams that can win on the road are usually pretty good.

As the season matures, there is more and more evidence that some of the "best-case scenarios&q…